Predicting at Random [Composite]; Predicting at Random [Composite]

  • Film begins. Introductory credits.
  • R. A. Rosenbaum introduces lecture.
  • David Blackwell begins lecture.
  • States theorem: a prediction method such that for every S...
  • Begins discussion of definition a prediction method.
  • Other prediction methods examples.
  • Keep track of 2 numbers on each day.
  • Expected position of Qn
  • A more general prediction problem than the previous one.
  • Von Neumann minimax theorem.
  • Example where neither Case 1 nor Case 2 occurs.
  • Writes a conjecture: for every M and D either for all large fixed N...
  • The general game can be applied to attrition games.
  • End of lecture. Begin end credits.
  • End of film.